File:Birthday paradox approximation.svg

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Original file(SVG file, nominally 720 × 450 pixels, file size: 54 KB)

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Summary

Description
English: A graph comparing the accuracy of an approximation of the probability that in a room with n people (shown along the horizontal axis), some two (or more) will share a birthday. The black line, represents the computed probability. The red line represents the approximation
Español: Comparación entre la probabilidad de que dos personas (o más) en un cuarto compartan su cumpleaños (línea negra) y la aproximación:
Date
Source Own work
Author Nicoguaro
SVG development
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Source code
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Python code

#from __future__ import division # Python 2
import numpy as np
from scipy.special import perm
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from matplotlib import rcParams

rcParams['font.family'] = 'serif'
rcParams['font.size'] = 14

num = np.linspace(1, 100, 100)
p = 1 - perm(365, num)/365.**num
p_approx = 1 - np.exp(-num**2/730)

plt.figure(figsize=(8, 5))
plt.step(num, p, "k", lw=2)
plt.plot(num, p_approx, "r", lw=1)
plt.xlabel(r"Number of people - $n$")
plt.ylabel("Probability of a pair")
plt.grid(True)
plt.legend([r"Probability: $\frac{365!}{365^n (365 - n)!}$",
            r"Approximation: $1-e^\frac{-n^2}{2\cdot 365}$"], loc=4)
plt.savefig("Birthday paradox approximation.svg")
plt.show()

Licensing

I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
w:en:Creative Commons
attribution
This file is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license.
You are free:
  • to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work
  • to remix – to adapt the work
Under the following conditions:
  • attribution – You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.

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11 February 2016

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51e1f8c32f72c3e55048195ccbff1bffb3ccbff1

55,676 byte

450 pixel

720 pixel

File history

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current17:09, 11 February 2016Thumbnail for version as of 17:09, 11 February 2016720 × 450 (54 KB)wikimediacommons>NicoguaroUser created page with UploadWizard

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